The market did not need a secret. It needed a faster feed.
Truth API, public information, private speed, and the market value of a faster clock.
Articles
When a market price becomes a plot point
A note on public probabilities, liquidity, whales, and why a market can become part of the story it measures.
Prediction markets do more than forecast elections
Visible election odds can affect donors, media framing, campaign energy, and turnout. A note on prediction-market reflexivity.
The Price of a Thermometer
A hypothetical temperature contract explains how an oracle, the source used for resolution, can become the weak point in a prediction market.